Hurricane Eta has maximum sustained winds of 150 mph and a minimum central pressure of 927 mb. It hasn't yet officially made it to a Cat 5, and an eyewall replacement cycle is beginning, so it shouldn't strengthen further before landfall. It's moving WSW at only 5 mph, and it's going to make a catastrophic landfall in Nicaragua this morning with a storm surge of 14 to 21 feet with wind gusts over 150 mph and as much as 35 inches of rain in some areas. The mountainous terrain will tear the inner core apart, but eventually the remnants should re-emerge back into the western Caribbean. It could then slowly re-organize. The models seem to show it going first towards Cuba and then back NW into the Gulf before possibly turning NE towards the west or northwest coast of Florida, but both the track and intensity are very uncertain at that range.
As for Long Island and the northeast, while it will be windy and chilly today with a 2nd cold front coming through, tomorrow is the start of a beautiful stretch of weather with mild temperatures and no rain through early next week. Long Island will have highs mostly in the mid 60's later this week into early next week, and interior locations of southern New England should have highs close to 70 degrees.
Long Island forecast:
Today (Tuesday): Another cold front will come through this morning, so there will be more clouds, and then partly cloudy in the afternoon with gusts over 25 mph in the morning from the WSW to W and then shifting to NW in the afternoon and slowly diminishing. Highs around 50 to 52 degrees.
Tomorrow (Wednesday): Mostly sunny with highs in the upper 50's to around 60 degrees.
Thursday: Mostly sunny with highs in the mid 60's.
Friday: Mostly sunny with highs in the mid 60's.
Saturday: Mostly sunny with highs in the mid to upper 60's.
Sunday: Mostly sunny with highs in the mid to upper 60's.
Monday: Mostly sunny with highs in the mid to upper 60's.
- 1st image: Official forecast map for Hurricane Eta from the NHC
- 2nd image: Current IR satellite view of Hurricane Eta
- 3rd image: Early 06Z track guidance from various models
- 4th image: Euro ensembles for the next 10 days
- 5th image: Projected precipitation for the next 7 days from the Weather Prediction Center
- 6th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the National Weather Service model blend