Hurricane Jose to Potentially Affect Long Island Next Tuesday Night into Wednesday
Hurricane Jose has maximum sustained winds of 75 mph with gusts to 90 mph, and it is expected to maintain the same general intensity for the next 4 or 5 days. The computer models have come into a little better agreement with the future path of the storm. However, the final track 5 days from now is not yet certain. At the present time, it appears that Hurricane Jose may give a glancing blow from Long Island to Cape Cod next Tuesday night into Wednesday, but today is a critical day to see the trends in the computer models, as it's still possible for more of a direct hit for the region.
The GFS and Euro are actually in remarkable agreement with their overnight runs for a path just offshore; however, the UKMET takes Jose on a track closer to the coast, and there are still several ensemble members from both the GFS and Euro that show Jose making landfall on the east coast of the United States.
The following image shows the Euro ensembles for Hurricane Jose from the overnight run:
The following image shows the GFS ensembles from the overnight run: