Snowstorm Still Possible for Long Island Monday/Tuesday
New GFS run (first image) brings the storm close enough to bring light snow to Long Island Monday night into Tuesday night. The second image shows the Euro ensembles from this afternoon and why it's important to look at the individual ensemble members and not the mean of the ensembles. It will either be amplified and closer to the coast or zonal and a non-threat; it won't be an average of the two.
Image from tropicaltidbits.com
Image from weathermodels.com. Annotation by Jack Sillin.