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4:15 AM update on the snow squalls, the Long Island forecast, and the late-week storm:

- There haven't really been any changes to the northeast snow squalls, except maybe slightly weaker on the southern end, so maybe not as strong for the south shore of Long Island. The stronger band comes through Long Island from 3 PM to the west and 5 PM out east, and you will feel it as the wind will gust to 40 to 50 mph and the snow could be moderate to heavy for 10 to 15 minutes. The temperatures on Long Island will reach 40 degrees, but then sharply drop once the Arctic front comes through into the 20's by 6 PM and the teens overnight. The Wind Advisory for Long Island is from 1 PM to midnight.

- Remember, Snow Squall Warnings will likely be issued throughout the northeast today once the front gets closer to your particular location.

- Nice sunny skies for tomorrow and Monday before rain for Tuesday afternoon into early Wednesday morning.

- The late-week storm will bring significant snows to central to northern New England with snow to sleet to rain for Long Island with light accumulations before the changeover. The timing is generally Thursday evening into Friday afternoon.


LONG ISLAND FORECAST:

***A Wind Advisory has been issued for today from 1 PM to midnight for wind gusts up to 50 mph from the west.***

Today: Mostly sunny early in the morning and then becoming mostly cloudy with a passing snow shower or snow squall becoming likely around mid-afternoon with a 10 to 15 minute period of moderate to heavy snow possible and becoming very windy late in the day with highs around 40 degrees, but dropping to the mid 30's by late afternoon and quickly into the 20's by early evening. Wind out of the SW in the morning at 10 to 20 mph and then then WNW to W at 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph late in the afternoon.

Tonight: Becoming mostly clear and very cold, and it will be very windy in the evening. Lows mostly in the mid teens. Wind out of the WNW to NW at 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph early in the evening and then decreasing towards morning.

Tomorrow: Sunny with highs in the mid 30's. Wind becoming out of the SSW at 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

Tomorrow night: Mostly clear with lows mostly in the upper 20's. Wind out of the SW at 10 to 15 mph.

Monday (President's Day): Sunny with highs in the mid to upper 40's. Wind out of the SW at 5 to 10 mph.

Tuesday: Cloudy with showers in the afternoon with highs in the low 50's. Wind out of the SSE at 10 to 20 mph.

Wednesday: Showers ending early in the morning and then mostly cloudy with some breaks of sun in the afternoon and mild with highs in the mid 50's in Suffolk and upper 50's to near 60 degrees in Nassau. Wind out of the SW in the morning and W to WNW in the afternoon at 10 to 20 mph.

Thursday: Increasing clouds with a chance of snow showers in the afternoon with highs around 40 degrees. Wind out of the NNE at 5 to 10 mph.

Thursday night: Cloudy with snow developing and then changing to sleet and then possibly rain. Light accumulations are likely before the changeover. Temperatures slowly rising overnight from the low 30's to the mid 30's. Wind out of the ENE at 10 to 15 mph.

Friday: Any snow or sleet early becoming all rain with highs in the low 40's.


- 1st image: My 5 day outlook for Long Island

- 2nd image: NWS Model Blend snow map for the next 8 days.

- 3rd image: NWS Model Blend snow map from 7 PM Thursday to 7 PM Friday

- 4th and 5th images: Future radar from the HRRR model for 1 PM and 4 PM today

- 6th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the NWS Model Blend








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