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45-day snow map is impressive for an ensemble mean as the 2nd half of Dec could be interesting:

- Tranquil weather the next few days, and then just some showers swinging through Friday afternoon/evening, followed by a rainy day on Sunday.

- Once we get beyond around December 4th, snow chances should slowly increase, and the Euro ensembles are showing a fairly snowy 2nd half of December into early January. I have seen the snow maps from all 50 ensemble members, and with an average of 6 inches of snow on Long Island, some individual members are showing some pretty high totals.


LONG ISLAND FORECAST:

Today: Sunny with highs in the upper 40's. Wind out of the WNW at 5 to 10 mph in the morning and then SW at around 10 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Clear with lows in the mid 30's in Nassau and low 30's in Suffolk with some upper 20's possible in the Pine Barrens area. Wind out of the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.

Tomorrow: Sunny with highs in the low 50's. Wind out of the WNW at 5 to 10 mph.

Tomorrow night: Clear with lows mostly in the mid 30's. Wind out of the N at 5 to 10 mph.

Thanksgiving: Mostly sunny with highs in the upper 40's to near 50 degrees. Wind out of the NNE at 5 to 10 mph.

Friday: Cloudy with scattered showers likely in the afternoon/evening with highs in the low to mid 50's. Wind mostly out of the WSW at 10 to 15 mph.

Saturday: Mostly sunny with highs in the low 50's. Wind out of the W at 5 to 10 mph.

Sunday: Rainy and breezy with highs in the mid to upper 50's. Wind out of the SW then WSW at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon.

Monday: Partly cloudy and breezy with highs in the low 50's. Wind out of the WNW at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 25 mph.


- 1st image: 45-day snow map from the Euro ensemble mean

- 2nd image: Projected snowfall for Long Island for the next 45 days as a running total from every Euro ensemble member

- 3rd image: My 5 day forecast for Long Island

- 4th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the NWS Model Blend






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