My Personal Weatherman™
** 50 to 70 mph wind gusts for L.I. Monday with t-storms and a bomb cyclone possible next weekend**
While the actual storm itself will not become quite as strong as previously indicated, a strong low-level jet will pass over Long Island Monday late afternoon with heavy rain and strong wind gusts with possible thunderstorms. Tornadoes are even possible from coastal South Carolina up into southern New Jersey. For Long Island, a Wind Advisory or High Wind Watch will be issued. Rain should develop between 9 AM and Noon from west to east with the strongest wind gusts from around 2 PM to 6 PM. Most gusts will be in the 45 to 55 mph range from the SE to SSE, but the south shore and east end could get wind gusts close to 60 mph, and if strong thunderstorms do develop, gusts could be close to 65 mph. The National Weather Service is even mentioning wind gusts up to 70 mph. The max gusts from the Euro ensemble mean is 57 mph.
There is also a potential storm for the northeast next weekend that has a chance to rapidly strengthen and be classified as a bomb cyclone. There is a chance for heavy snow in parts of northern and western New England, but it will most likely be all rain for Long Island and southeastern New England.
LONG ISLAND FORECAST:
Today (Saturday): Partly to mostly sunny and a little breezy in the afternoon with highs in the mid 50's. There is a very slight chance of a passing shower or sprinkle in the mid-afternoon.
Tomorrow (Sunday): Mostly sunny with highs around 53 degrees.
Monday: Rain developing between around 9 AM and 11 AM from west to east and becoming heavy at times with increasing wind by early to mid afternoon with gusts up to 55 mph from the SE to SSE. There is also a chance of strong thunderstorms that could contain damaging wind gusts up to 65 mph. Mild with highs around 60 degrees. Total rainfall by late Monday night should be between 1 and 1.75 inches. The rain should end from west to east between around 9 PM and 11 PM.
Tuesday: Varying amounts of clouds and sun with a slight chance of a passing shower. Temperatures dropping from the mid to upper 50's in the morning to the upper 40's by late afternoon. It will also be breezy with wind gusts up to 25 mph from the SSW in the afternoon.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy with highs in the mid to upper 40's.
Thursday: Mostly sunny with highs in the upper 40's.
Friday: Partly cloudy with highs in the upper 40's.
- 1st image: Maximum projected wind gusts through 7 PM Monday from the National Weather Service
- 2nd image: Maximum projected wind gusts in knots (multiply by 1.15 to convert to mph) through 7 AM Tuesday from the Euro
- 3rd image: Severe weather potential for Monday into Monday night from the Storm Prediction Center
- 4th image: Projected snowfall for the next 10 days from the Euro
- 5th image: Projected precipitation for the next 7 days from the Weather Prediction Center
- 6th image: Simulated future radar for 1 PM Monday from the NAM model
- 7th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the National Weather Service model blend