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  • Writer's pictureMy Personal Weatherman™

9/11 and an update on the active tropics and tranquil weather for Long Island:

9/11: There are so many memories for all of us that lived through it, especially here on Long Island and those in NYC. For me, I will never forget the renewed sense of patriotism and unity that followed. Almost everyone had a symbol of the American flag displayed on their car. I have vivid memories of going to 3 incredible post-season games at Yankee Stadium, including the Brosius game in Game 5 of the World Series. The sense of unity for our country was amazing!

Here is a quote by Lydia Sweatt from "On Sept. 11, 2001, America was forever changed. It has been 19 years since the attacks, but that tragic day, which served as a true test of the American spirit, will be remembered always. So on this day, we observe Patriot Day and all that it represents—we honor the value of life, those we loved and lost, our country’s resilience, and the strength of the American spirit."

Tropical Storm Rene:

Rene is no longer expected to become a hurricane, and it's not a threat to land.

Tropical Storm Paulette:

Paulette will become a powerful hurricane with maximum sustained winds over 100 mph when it is close to Bermuda on Monday. It's too soon to tell exactly how close the center comes to Bermuda, but there is a pretty good chance that they will experience hurricane-force gusts. The HWRF model is showing that the still will have a large eye by the time it gets near Bermuda.

Invest 96L:

This is the system over the Bahamas that will be crossing southern Florida and into the Gulf of Mexico. This may bring a tremendous amount of rain to the central to eastern Gulf coast with also heavy rain for southern Florida. The following is from the National Hurricane Center: A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending from near the Central and Northwest Bahamas eastward over the western Atlantic for a few hundred miles is associated with a surface trough of low pressure. This system is forecast to move westward, crossing the Bahamas and Florida on Friday and moving into the eastern Gulf of Mexico over the weekend. Upper-level winds are expected to become conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form while this system moves slowly west-northwestward over the eastern Gulf of Mexico early next week. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce locally heavy rainfall over portions of South Florida and the Keys during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Invest 95L:

This is the system in the eastern Atlantic that may become Sally and has the most potential to become a strong hurricane. The Euro ensembles are still roughly split with it curving early to the north well before getting near the Caribbean or staying farther south and heading west into the Caribbean and then curving northwestward and heading towards Florida and/or possibly the east coast of the United States. At this point, we can only watch and see how it develops first. It will probably become a Tropical Depression around Sunday.

Long Island:

- It's going to be a great stretch of weather for the next week with only a chance of some showers Sunday night into very early Monday morning. See details below:

Today: Early morning showers and then becoming partly cloudy with decreasing humidity throughout the day. Breezy with highs mostly in the mid to upper 70's.

Tomorrow: Mostly sunny with low humidity with highs mostly in the low 70's.

Sunday: Partly to mostly cloudy at times with slowly increasing humidity by evening. There is a slight chance of showers by evening, but they may hold off until later at night. Highs mostly in the upper 70's. 

Monday: Mostly cloudy early in the morning with partly cloudy skies expected by mid to late morning with decreasing humidity throughout the day. Highs mostly in the upper 70's.

Tuesday: Sunny and cooler with very low humidity with highs only in the upper 60's to around 70 degrees!

Wednesday: Mostly sunny with low humidity with highs mostly in the low 70's.

Thursday: Mostly sunny and warmer with moderate humidity with highs mostly in the mid to upper 70's.

- 2nd image: Euro ensembles for the next 15 days

- 3rd image: Overview map from the National Hurricane Center

- 4th image: Key messages for Tropical Storm Paulette from the National Hurricane Center

- 5th image: Tropical Storm Rene forecast map from the National Hurricane Center

- 6th image: Projected IR satellite image of Paulette at 8 AM Monday from the HWRF model

- 7th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the National Weather Service model blend

- 8th image: Projected rainfall for the next 7 days from the Euro. Note the Gulf coast.

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