Active tropics as Ida will bring flooding rain to Long Island and Larry may be Kate instead:
- The remnants of Ida will bring a swath of flooding rain to Long Island Wednesday into Thursday with amounts of 4 to 5 inches with wind gusts in the 25 to 30 mph range. The heaviest rain looks to be Wednesday night into Thursday morning.
- Tropical Depression Ten might not make it to Tropical Storm status until at least Wednesday, if at all, and if that's the case, the strong system emerging off the coast of Africa later today may steal the name Kate first and become Hurricane Kate later this week.
- Don't worry about the yellow X right off the east coast as it has a 0% chance of tropical development.
- The NHC is also watching the western Caribbean, and they are currently giving it a 20% chance of tropical development within the next 5 days. The Euro ensembles are not especially bullish on its development, so that's good news.
- It looks like beautiful weather for Long Island from Friday into Labor Day!
LONG ISLAND FORECAST:
Today: Partly to mostly cloudy and humid with a 40% chance of scattered thunderstorms in the late afternoon and evening with highs in the low to mid 80's. Wind out of the SW at 5 mph in the morning and 10 mph in the afternoon.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy and humid with a chance of thunderstorms until around 1 AM with lows around 70 degrees. Wind around 5 to 10 mph from the SW early and then WNW to NW towards morning.
Tomorrow: Partly cloudy in the morning and mostly cloudy in the afternoon with highs in the low to mid 80's. Wind out of the NW at 5 to 10 mph.
Wednesday: Showers developing in the late morning or early afternoon and becoming a steadier rain late in the day with highs in the mid 70's. Wind out of the NE at around 10 mph.
Wednesday night: Rainy and breezy with with heavy rain at times and possible thunderstorms. Wind gusts up to 25 mph from the ENE. Lows in the mid 60's.
Thursday: Rainy and windy in the morning with heavy rain at times and possibly a thunderstorm, tapering off to showers and ending in the afternoon with highs in the mid 70's. Wind out of the NE to NNE at 15 to 25 mph.
Friday: Mostly sunny and breezy with low humidity with highs in the mid 70's. Wind out of the N at 10 to 20 mph.
Saturday: Mostly sunny with low humidity with highs in the mid to possibly upper 70's.
Sunday: Partly cloudy with highs in the upper 70's.
- 1st image: Overview of the tropics from the NHC
- 2nd image: My 5 day outlook for Long Island
- 3rd image: Tropical Storm Ida from the NHC
- 4th image: Euro ensembles for the next 15 days
- 5th and 6th images: Projected rainfall through the end of the week from the Weather Prediction Center and GFS, respectively
- 7th image: Projected temperatures for Farmingdale, Long Island for the next 10 days from the NWS model blend