An update on the 3 systems in the tropics and the Long Island forecast:
- Tropical Storm Bill, which is off the east coast of the United States has maximum sustained winds of 50 mph and is quickly heading out into the Atlantic.
- Invest 94L, which is the tropical wave off the coast of Africa, has only a 20% chance of tropical development, and is not a long-term threat to the Caribbean islands.
- Invest 92L, which may become Tropical Storm Claudette by this weekend, is set to produce prolific rain and flooding in southern Louisiana and Mississippi with as much as 10 to 15 inches or more of rain (see 4th image) and tropical storm-force winds (see 5th image).
- As for Long Island, the forecast is below, and regarding early next week and the remnants of Invest 92L (potential Tropical Storm Claudette), a cold front for Tuesday may bring us some showers and keep the storm far enough to our southeast to not have any real impacts. Gusts as high as hurricane-force may occur well offshore (see 5th image).
LONG ISLAND FORECAST:
Today: Early morning showers, especially for the south shore and east end and then becoming mostly sunny with a chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon with highs mostly in the upper 70's to around 80 degrees, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the WNW at 5 to 10 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear with lows in the low 60's. Wind out of the NW at 5 to 10 mph.
Tomorrow: Mostly sunny with low humidity with highs in the upper 70's. Wind out of the NW at around 10 mph.
Thursday: Sunny with low humidity with highs in the upper 70's. wind out of the NW at 5 to 10 mph.
Friday: Mostly sunny with highs mostly in the low 80's, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the SSW in the afternoon at 10 to 15 mph.
Saturday: Partly to mostly cloudy and more humid with a 30% chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Highs in the low to mid 80's, but some upper 80's in northern Nassau and northwestern Suffolk and cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the SW at 10 to 15 mph.
Sunday: Mostly sunny and less humid with highs in the low to mid 80's.
Monday: Partly cloudy and more humid with more clouds late in the day with highs in the low 80's. Wind out of the SSE at 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
- 1st image: From the National Hurricane Center
- 2nd image: My 5 day outlook for Long Island
- 3rd image: Euro ensembles for the next 10 days
- 4th image: Projected rainfall for the southeast through 8 PM next Tuesday from the Euro
- 5th image: Maximum projected wind gusts in knots for the next 10 days from the Euro
- 6th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the National Weather Service model blend