- The HRRR (2nd image) has higher temperatures on Long Island than the National Weather Service (3rd image) and considering yesterday was hotter than forecast for some parts of Long Island, I'd go with the HRRR.
- Thunderstorms will be weakening tonight as they approach the coast, like usual.
- It still looks like another cold front on Friday with some showers and possibly a thunderstorm with a good chance for nice weather for most, if not all, of the holiday weekend.
LONG ISLAND FORECAST:
Today: Mostly sunny and humid with highs in the upper 80's in Nassau and northwestern Suffolk and mid 80's in central Suffolk, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the SSW to S at 5 to 10 mph in the morning and 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Tonight: Increasing clouds with some showers and possibly a thunderstorm between around 8 PM and 1 AM with lows in the upper 50's to around 60 degrees. Wind shifting from SSW to NW at 10 to 20 mph.
Tomorrow: Partly sunny, cooler, and less humid with highs in the low to mid 70's, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the N at 10 to 15 mph.
Tomorrow night: Mostly cloudy with lows in the mid 50's in Nassau and low to mid 50's in Suffolk. Wind out of the NE at 5 to 10 mph.
Tuesday: Partly sunny and even cooler with highs in the upper 60's, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the E at 10 to 15 mph.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy and continued cool with an onshore flow with highs in the mid to upper 60's, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the ESE at 10 to 15 mph.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of some showers with highs in the low 70's, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the SSE at 10 to 20 mph.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms from a cold front with highs in the low 70's. Wind out of the SSW at 10 to 20 mph.
- 1st image: My 5 day outlook for Long Island
- 2nd and 3rd images: Projected highs for today from the HRRR and NWS, respectively
- 4th image: Severe weather potential for today into tonight
- 5th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the NWS Model Blend
