Big northeast storm early next week and the Long Island forecast:

While there is still uncertainty in the specifics, it's becoming increasingly likely that there will be a big storm in the northeast next week from Monday night into Wednesday morning. For example, the Canadian model is showing some crazy snow amounts inland, and the Euro is showing snow inland and a lot of rain and wind for the coast with hurricane-force wind gusts. It's still a week away, so we'll have to see how it evolves; the track and strength will determine the impacts.

Before the storm though, it will turn very mild on Thursday with highs in the mid 60's on Long Island, and then a cold front will come through Thursday night.

After the big storm early next week, it will be chilly for Wednesday and Thanksgiving!

LONG ISLAND FORECAST:

Today: Sunny with highs in the upper 40's to near 50 degrees. Wind out of the WNW at 10 to 20 mph.

Tonight: Mostly clear with lows in the low 30's with some upper 20's in the Pine Barrens area in Suffolk. Wind out of the W at 5 to 10 mph in the evening and then decreasing to less than 5 mph after midnight.

Tomorrow: Partly to mostly sunny through high clouds and milder with highs in the mid to upper 50's. Wind becoming out of the S at 5 to 10 mph.

Tomorrow night: Partly cloudy and relatively mild with lows in the upper 40's to low 50's. Wind out of the S at 5 to 10 mph.

Thursday: Mostly sunny and mild with increasing clouds late in the day with highs in the mid 60's. Wind out of the SW at 10 to 15 mph.

Thursday night: Cloudy with some rain likely between around 8 PM and 2 PM and then becoming partly cloudy towards morning. Lows in the low 40's. Wind becoming out of the WNW at 10 to 15 mph.

Friday: Partly cloudy in the morning with a chance of a shower and then becoming sunny with highs in the upper 40's to around 50 degrees. Wind out of the WNW at 10 to 20 mph.

Saturday: Sunny and chilly with highs in the upper 40's. Wind out of the NNW at 5 to 10 mph.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy with highs in the low to mid 50's. Wind out of the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.

- 1st image: My 5 day outlook for Long Island

- 2nd image: Projected storm locations and strengths at 7 AM next Tuesday from the Euro ensemble members

- 3rd image: Projected snowfall for the next 10 days from the NWS model blend

- 4th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the NWS model blend

- 5th image: Projected snowfall for Long Island for the next 15 days as a running total from every Euro ensemble member