Brand-new 18Z Euro ensembles are farther east with the strong storm on Monday!
The ensembles show a much different picture than the 12Z operation run, which had rain for Long Island, but you can see the huge spread in the ensembles, which is expected since it's still more than 5 days away for the northeast. This will set up some interesting overnight runs. I would suspect that the main Euro and GFS runs will shift east. As always, I will have a full update by around 5:15 AM.