Early morning post (due to jet lag) - the tropics and the L.I. forecast through the 4th of July:

- It looks like a great stretch of weather for Long Island, except for Saturday. It will also be hot on Friday for areas of the northeast away from the coast. Humid with periods of showers and thunderstorms with the front from late Friday night into late Saturday night, but it should clear in time for a nice Sunday and a great 4th of July!

- Potential Tropical Cyclone Two is expected to become Tropical Storm Bonnie late today as it continues it's very southern track as it skims the northern coast of Venezuela and then strengthens before an expected landfall possibly as a hurricane in Nicaragua Friday night.

- Invest 95L will bring plenty of rain for the coast of Texas the next few days.

- The system over the central Atlantic is being given a 30% chance of tropical development within the next 5 days as it heads towards the Caribbean islands.

LONG ISLAND FORECAST:

Today: Sunny with low humidity with highs in the low 80's in Nassau and mostly around 80 degrees in Suffolk, but cooler for the south shore and east end, especially by late afternoon. Wind light and variable in the morning and then out of the SSW at around 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon, stronger late and along the south shore.

Tonight: Partly cloudy with lows mostly in the mid 60's. Wind out of the SSW at around 10 mph.

Tomorrow: Mostly sunny with low humidity in the afternoon with highs in the upper 80's in Nassau and mid 80's in Suffolk, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the WNW to NW at 5 to 10 mph.

Friday: Mostly sunny, very warm/hot, fairly humid, and becoming breezy in the afternoon with highs in the upper 80's in Nassau and mostly mid 80's in Suffolk, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the SSW at 5 to 10 mph in the morning and 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy and humid with scattered showers and thunderstorms with highs mostly in the mid 80's in Nassau and low 80's in Suffolk. Wind out of the SW at 5 to 10 mph.

Sunday: Partly cloudy and less humid in the afternoon with highs in the low 80's, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the WNW at 5 to 10 mph.

Monday (4th of July): Mostly sunny with low to moderate humidity with highs mostly in the low 80's, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the N at 5 mph in the morning and then out of the S at 10 to 25 mph in the afternoon.

- 1st image: My 5 day outlook for Long Island

- 2nd image: Projected highs for Friday

- 3rd and 4th images: The tropics

- 5th image: Projected rainfall through the 4th of July

- 6th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the NWS Model Blend