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Euro ensembles trend snowier, the latest on Zeta, and the Long Island forecast:

The new Euro ensembles have trended colder and snowier for the northeast Thursday night into Friday. The 1st image shows the projected snowfall from the Euro ensemble mean, and the 2nd image shows the projected snowfall for Long Island from every Euro ensemble member, but I'm still not expecting any snow on Long Island.


Tropical Storm Zeta has strengthened; maximum sustained winds are now 50 mph. Hurricane Warnings are in effect for the Yucatan Peninsula. Some weakening is still expected before landfall along the central Gulf coast on Wednesday, and it will likely make landfall as a strong tropical storm.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  25/2100Z 17.7N  83.4W   45 KT  50 MPH
 12H  26/0600Z 18.7N  84.3W   55 KT  65 MPH
 24H  26/1800Z 19.7N  85.7W   65 KT  75 MPH
 36H  27/0600Z 21.1N  87.6W   65 KT  75 MPH...INLAND
 48H  27/1800Z 23.2N  89.6W   65 KT  75 MPH
 60H  28/0600Z 25.7N  90.8W   65 KT  75 MPH
 72H  28/1800Z 29.4N  90.3W   60 KT  70 MPH...INLAND
 96H  29/1800Z 37.0N  83.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
120H  30/1800Z...DISSIPATED

Zeta will likely not be the last named storm this season. Eta will probably form in the first week in November in the Caribbean.


Long Island forecast:


Tonight: Cloudy with scattered showers likely with lows mostly in the upper 40's.

Tomorrow (Monday): Cloudy with showers ending by mid to late morning and then cloudy with a chance of some drizzle in the afternoon with highs in the low mid 60's.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with only a slight chance of a shower with highs in the upper 50's.

Wednesday: Partly to mostly cloudy with highs mostly in the upper 50's to around 60 degrees.

Thursday: Cloudy with rain developing in the morning and becoming heavy at times in the afternoon and evening. Highs in the upper 50's. Rainy and breezy at night.

Friday: Rainy, breezy, and chilly with highs only in the upper 40's. Showers ending in the afternoon or early evening.

Halloween: Mostly sunny and chilly with highs in the low 50's.









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