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Fall Temperature Outlook and Concerning 18Z Euro Run

- The 1st image is the temperature probability outlook for September through November, as it looks like a good chance of above average temperatures for the northeast.

- The 18Z Euro run only goes out 90 hours, but the ensembles go out 6 days. The 2nd image is from the end of the Euro run, and it shows Laura strengthening steadily and already down to 985 mb and heading northwest. You can see future Marco is weaker and heading towards the coast of Texas.

- I will have another update tonight when the early 00Z track guidance comes out and the GFS ensembles and new 18Z Euro ensembles.

- The 4th image shows the warmer than normal temperatures expected next week for Long Island, which will be followed by cooler weather arriving next weekend.

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