GFS caves to other models. Now focus turns to late next week as Euro has snow for Long Island:
- The GFS now keeps the snow from the Monday morning storm south of Long Island like the other models. There will be some snow though for the mid-Atlantic as it heads out to sea moving ENE.
- The story for Sunday night into Tuesday morning will be the really cold air, but then attention turns to the late-week storm (see 2nd to 5th images). The Euro has a snowstorm for Long Island, and it does have support from some of its ensemble members, but the odds favor mostly rain for Long Island with a snowstorm for inland areas of the northeast.
LONG ISLAND FORECAST:
Today (New Year's Eve): Mostly cloudy with highs in the low 50's. Light and variable wind in the morning and then out of the SSW at 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Tonight (New Year's Eve night): Cloudy with a chance of showers after 2 AM. Lows in the mid 40's. Wind out of the S at 5 to 10 mph.
Tomorrow (New Year's Day): Rainy and mild with highs in the mid 50's. Wind out of the S at 5 to 10 mph.
Tomorrow night: Rainy and mild with lows in the mid to upper 40's. Wind out of the SW at 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday: Cloudy in the morning with a 30% chance of scattered showers in the afternoon with temperatures in the mid 50's in the morning and low 50's by late afternoon. Wind out of the WNW at 10 to 20 mph.
Monday: Becoming mostly sunny with highs only in the low 30's. Wind out of the NNW at 10 to 20 mph.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny with highs in the low 40's. Wind out of the SW at 5 to 10 mph.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with highs in the upper 40's. Wind out of the SW at 10 to 20 mph.
- 1st image: My 5 day outlook for Long Island
- 2nd image: NWS model blend snow from next Thursday afternoon into next Friday afternoon
- 3rd image: Map from the Euro for 7 AM Friday
- 4th image: Projected snowfall for Long Island for the next 15 days as a running total from every Euro ensemble member
- 5th image: Projected storm locations and strengths from the Euro ensemble members at 1 AM Friday
- 6th image: Projected temperatures with ranges for Long Island for the next 15 days from the Euro ensembles
- 7th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the NWS model blend
- 8th image: Projected precipitation through 7 AM Monday from the Weather Prediction Center