Happy 2022! Snow maps and the Long Island forecast:
- Rainy and mild today through tonight, and it will turn sharply colder tomorrow evening/night.
- The GFS continues to be farther north than the other models with the Monday morning storm with some snow for Long Island, and it's amazing that it hasn't corrected yet as it's very likely too far north, so don't expect any snow.
- Regarding the late-week storm, I have posted the snow maps from the GFS and Euro below, but we still have to watch for shifts in the storm track. At this point, the odds favor mostly rain for Long Island.
LONG ISLAND FORECAST:
Today (New Year's Day): Rainy and mild with highs in the mid 50's. Wind out of the S at 5 to 10 mph.
Tonight: Rain with a period of moderate to heavy rain possible towards midnight. Temperatures mostly in the low 50's. Wind out of the NE at 5 to 10 mph.
Tomorrow: Cloudy and mild with a 30% chance of a shower and becoming breezy in the afternoon with highs in the low to mid 50's. Wind mostly out of the WNW at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 25 mph late.
Tomorrow night: Cloudy, breezy, and turning sharply colder with a slight chance of a rain or snow shower. Lows in the upper 20's. Wind out of the NNW at 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
Monday: Mostly cloudy in the morning and then becoming partly sunny with highs only in the low to mid 30's. Wind out of the N at 10 to 20 mph,
Tuesday: Mostly sunny with highs around 40 degrees. Wind out of the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Wednesday: Cloudy with a 40% chance of showers with highs in the upper 40's to around 50 degrees. Wind out of the SW at 10 to 15 mph.
Thursday: Partly to mostly cloudy with highs in the mid 40's. Wind out of the W at 5 to 10 mph.
- 1st image: My 5 day outlook for Long Island
- 2nd image: Projected snowfall through 1 AM Monday from the NWS
- 3rd and 4th images: 24-hour snowfall maps from Thursday afternoon into Friday afternoon from the Euro and GFS, respectively
- 5th image: Projected precipitation through 1 AM Monday from the Weather Prediction Center
- 6th image: Projected snowfall for Long Island for the next 15 days as a running total from every Euro ensemble member
- 7th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the NWS model blend