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Happy St. Patrick's Day! Update on everything - L.I., showers, thunder, warmth, maps, and snow?

- This just in... some possible good news amongst the horrors of war: "It’s a miracle - civilians that were hiding in a basement at the Drama Theater in Mariupol survived the air strike. Now they are getting evacuated from underneath the ruins. We’re waiting for more info on how many have survived." - @IAPonomarenko Defense reporter with The Kyiv Independent.

- Happy St. Patrick's Day! Sorry about the showers today.

- Tomorrow will be great after some possible early morning clouds/fog as highs will mostly be in the mid to upper 60's on Long Island, but cooler for the south shore and east end. I've included the projected highs for tomorrow from the HRRR in the 3rd image.

- More rain for Saturday with a chance of a thunderstorm. I've included the SPC Severe Weather map in the 4th image.

- Mostly sunny skies then for Sunday to Tuesday, and then showers move in on Wednesday. The GFS and Canadian are both showing some sleet/snow possible for Long Island and southern New England next Wednesday night, so it's something to keep an eye on, but it will likely be north of Long Island.

- The GFS is also showing colder weather at the end of the month with some snow possible.


LONG ISLAND FORECAST:

Today: Early morning fog and then showers developing around mid-morning and then possibly becoming more scattered by mid to late afternoon in Nassau and western Suffolk with highs in the mid 50's. Wind out of the NE at 5 to 10 mph.

Tonight: Early evening showers, especially in eastern Suffolk and then mostly cloudy with patchy fog with lows mostly in the mid 40's. Wind generally light and variable.

Tomorrow: Early morning low clouds and fog possible and then becoming sunny and warm with highs in the upper 60's in Nassau and mid 60's in Suffolk, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the W at 5 to 10 mph.

Tomorrow night: Increasing clouds with a chance of showers after 2 AM with lows in the mid 40's. Wind out of the SSE at 5 to 10 mph.

Saturday: Cloudy with periods of rain throughout the day with a slight chance of a thunderstorm between 3 PM and 8 PM with highs in the upper 50's in Nassau and mid 50's in Suffolk, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the SSE at 10 to 15 mph.

Sunday: Partly cloudy and breezy with highs in the mid to upper 50's. Wind out of the W at 15 to 25 mph.

Monday: Sunny with highs in the upper 50's. Wind out of the WNW at 10 to 20 mph.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny with highs in the mid 50's. Wind out of the NW at 10 to 15 mph.

Wednesday: Cloudy and cooler with a chance of showers with highs in the upper 40's. Wind out of the E at 10 to 15 mph.


- 1st image: My 5 day outlook for Long Island

- 2nd image: 10-day snow map from the NWS Model Blend

- 3rd image: Projected highs for tomorrow from the HRRR

- 4th image: Severe weather potential for Saturday from the SPC

- 5th to 7th images: Future radar from the HRRR for today at 9 AM, 2 PM, and 7 PM

- 8th to 10th images: Maps from the Euro for 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM

- 11th and 12th images: Maps from the GFS and Canadian for 8 PM next Wednesday

- 13th image: Projected snowfall for Long Island for the next 15 days as a running total from every Euro ensemble member

- 14th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the NWS Model blend
















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