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Here are the brand-new GFS ensembles for Invest 95L:

A possible scenario is that Invest 96L (the system off the east coast now) strengthens as it heads away from the east coast, but then it gets trapped by a high pressure ridge, so it hangs around for a while, which creates a weakness that allows a slightly stronger Invest 95L to turn north towards as it continues to strengthen. Another scenario is that Invest 95L never really develops and stays farther south and dissipates into an open wave.

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