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Hot weather is back, Friday PM thunderstorms, and tropics slowly coming alive:

- The hot weather is back for the next 3 days, but it won't really be humid until Friday ahead of a cold front that will bring a chance for scattered potentially strong thunderstorms Friday afternoon and evening. Of course, some will again be disappointed.

- While the weekend looks good and not nearly as hot, it won't be without a slight chance for some isolated thunderstorms each day.

- The heat and humidity returns early next week with a chance for scattered thunderstorms around Tuesday evening.

- We still have the 2 areas in the Atlantic with each being given a 20% chance of tropical development within the next 10 days. You will likely see those percentages each increase today.


LONG ISLAND FORECAST:

Today: Mostly sunny, hot , and less humid with highs in the upper 80's, but a little cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the WNW to W at around 10 mph.

Tonight: Partly cloudy to mostly clear with lows in the upper 60's to near 70 degrees. Wind decreasing to around 5 mph.

Tomorrow: Mostly sunny and hot with low to moderate humidity with highs in the upper 80's (around 90 degrees in northern Nassau and northwestern Suffolk), but a little cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the NW at 5 mph in the morning and then out of the S at 10 mph in the afternoon.

Tomorrow night: Mostly clear with increasing humidity with lows around 70 degrees. Wind out of the SSW at around 5 mph.

Friday: Partly cloudy and humid with a chance for scattered late afternoon and evening showers and potentially strong thunderstorms with highs in the upper 80's, but a little cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the SSW at 5 to 10 mph in the morning and 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon.

Saturday: Mostly sunny with moderate to high humidity with a slight chance for an isolated afternoon thunderstorm with highs in the mid 80's, but a little cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the N at 5 mph in the morning and then out of the SE at 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.

Sunday: Partly cloudy with moderate to high humidity with a slight chance for a scattered shower or thunderstorm with highs in the low 80's, but a little cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the E at 5 to 10 mph in the morning and then out of the SE at 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

Monday: Mostly sunny and humid with highs in the mid 80's, but a little cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the S at 5 mph in the morning and 0 mph in the afternoon.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy and humid with more clouds late with a chance for evening showers/thunderstorms with highs in the mid to upper 80's, but a little cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the SSW at 5 to 10 mph in the morning and 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.


- 1st image: My 5 day forecast for Long Island

- 2nd image: From the NHC

- 3rd image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the NWS Model Blend

- 4th and 5th images: 15-day ensemble maps for the tropics from the Euro and GFS, respectively

- 6th image: Projected rainfall for the next 10 days from the NWS Model Blend, but of course any area that gets thunderstorms will see locally higher amounts









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