Search
  • My Personal Weatherman™

Hurricane forecast from Colorado State University:

EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY AND LANDFALL STRIKE PROBABILITY FOR 2022


We anticipate that the 2022 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have above-normal activity. Current weak La Niña conditions look fairly likely to transition to neutral ENSO by this summer/fall, but the odds of a significant El Niño seem unlikely. Sea surface temperatures averaged across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic are currently near average, while Caribbean and subtropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures are warmer than normal. We anticipate an above-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the continental United States coastline and in the Caribbean. As is the case with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They should prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted.


Read the full report here: https://tropical.colostate.edu/Forecast/2022-04.pdf


(as of 7 April 2022)


By Philip J. Klotzbach1 and Michael M. Bell2


In Memory of William M. Gray3


This discussion as well as past forecasts and verifications are available online at http://tropical.colostate.edu


Jennifer Dimas, Colorado State University media representative, is coordinating media inquiries into this verification. She can be reached at 970-491-1543 or Jennifer.Dimas@colostate.edu


Department of Atmospheric Science

Colorado State University

Fort Collins, CO 80523



6 views0 comments