Hurricane Watch issued for Florida - update on Eta and the Long Island forecast with plenty of rain:
Tropical Storm Eta now has maximum sustained winds of 70 mph, and it's expected to become a minimal hurricane today. A Hurricane Watch has been issued for the west coast of Florida from Anna Maria Island to Yankeetown. It will be weakening as it approaches the coast, but there can still be some gusts to hurricane-force right along the coast. The maximum storm surge is projected to be 2 to 4 feet, and rainfall amounts of 2 to 6 inches are expected.
From the NHC:
1. Life-threatening storm surge is possible early Thursday along portions of the Florida Gulf Coast from Bonita Beach to Steinhatchee River, including Tampa Bay and Charlotte Harbor. Residents in this area should follow any advice given by local officials. 2. Hurricane-force winds are possible along portions of the west coast of Florida from Anna Maria Island to Yankeetown by early Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds are expected by late Wednesday along portions of the Florida Gulf Coast from Bonita Beach to Suwanee River, and are possible Thursday from Suwannee River to Aucilla River. Interests elsewhere along the Florida Gulf Coast should monitor the progress of Eta, as additional watches and warnings may be needed today. 3. Heavy rainfall from Eta will continue across western Cuba and South Florida and spread northward across portions of West and North Florida Wednesday through Friday. Additional flash and urban flooding will be possible in South Florida on Wednesday, especially across previously inundated areas, and across portions of West Florida through Friday.
Elsewhere in the tropics, Tropical Storm Theta has maximum sustained winds of 65 mph as it heads eastward in the Atlantic. Invest 98L in the Caribbean has an 80% chance of tropical development within the next 5 days, according to the National Hurricane Center. The next "name" on the list is Iota. It should stay to the south, as only 1 of the 50 Euro ensemble members are showing it coming northward towards the southeastern United States.
LONG ISLAND FORECAST:
Today (Veterans Day): Cloudy and mild with with rain developing in the late afternoon to early evening from west to east. Highs in the upper 60's to around 70 degrees. The rain could be moderate to heavy at times this evening and tonight.
Tomorrow (Thursday): Cloudy with showers continuing for most of the day. Temperatures falling from the low 60's early in the morning to the low to mid 50's by late afternoon. Total rainfall for Wednesday and Thursday is expected to be between 1 and 2 inches with the highest amounts along the south shore.
Friday: Mostly cloudy and cool with more showers expected. Highs in the mid 50's.
Saturday: Mostly sunny with highs in the low 50's.
Sunday: Increasing clouds with showers developing in the mid to late afternoon. Highs in the upper 50's.
Monday: Early morning showers and then becoming partly to mostly sunny in the late morning into the afternoon. Highs in the low 60's.
- 1st image: Official forecast map for Eta from the NHC
- 2nd image: Current IR satellite view of Eta
- 3rd image: Maximum projected wind gusts through 7 PM Friday from the National Weather Service
- 4th and 5th images: Projected rainfall through 7 AM Saturday for the northeast and southeast, respectively, from the Weather Prediction Center
- 6th image: Projected storm surge
- 7th image: Overview map of the tropics from the NHC
- 8th image: Euro ensembles for the next 15 days
- 9th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the National Weather Service model blend