Increasing chance of tropical development:
From the National Hurricane Center:
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Oct 22 2020 1. A trough of low pressure located over the western Caribbean Sea is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms which primarily extend near Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and Cuba. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next few days while it moves northeastward near western or central Cuba, the Straits of Florida and the Bahamas through the weekend. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of Cuba, South Florida, and the Bahamas through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.