Incredible warmth through Monday and then much cooler, followed by late-week rain:

- Any showers for Sunday should stay just west and northwest of Long Island. A cold front comes through Monday evening/night, so MUCH cooler for Tuesday and Wednesday with highs in the upper 50's Tuesday and mid 50's Wednesday. Rain eventually moves northward for next Friday.

- Complex systems off the southeast coast kind of merge into a potential subtropical system that will bring rain for the southeast and prolonged winds off the ocean with gusts up to 50 mph for areas right along the water from northern Florida to North Carolina for the middle of next week.

LONG ISLAND FORECAST:

Today: Sunny with highs in the mid 60's. Wind out of the ESE then SSE at around 5 mph.

Tonight: Mostly clear and nearly calm with some patchy fog possible after 2 AM with lows around 50 degrees in Nassau and mid to upper 40's in Suffolk, but some low 40's in the Pine Barrens area in Suffolk.

Tomorrow: Patchy fog possible early and then partly cloudy with highs in the upper 60's. Wind calm in the morning and then out of the SSW at 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.

Tomorrow night: Partly cloudy with patchy fog possible after 2 AM with lows in the low to mid 50's. Wind out of the SSW at around 5 mph.

Saturday: Patchy fog possible early and then partly cloudy with highs in the low 70's. Wind out of the SSW at 5 mph in the morning and then out of the S at 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

Sunday: Patchy fog possible early and then mostly cloudy with highs in the low 70's. Wind out of the SSW at 5 to 10 mph in the morning and 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

Monday: Partly cloudy with highs in the low to mid 70's in Nassau and low 70's in Suffolk. Wind out of the WSW at 5 mph in the morning and then out of the WNW at 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.

Tuesday: Sunny and much cooler with highs in the upper 50's. Wind out of the NNE at 10 to 15 mph.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny with highs in the mid 50's. Wind generally out of the ENE at 10 to 15 mph.

- 1st image: My 5 day forecast for Long Island

- 2nd image: Projected temperatures with ranges for Long Island for the next 15 days from the Euro ensembles

- 3rd image: Overview of the tropics from the NHC

- 4th image: Euro ensembles for the next 15 days

- 5th image: Projected rainfall for the next 7 days from the WPC