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Invest 98L steals name Wilfred! Gulf system (TD22) to become Tropical Storm Alpha later today!

- Invest 98L has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Wilfred, meaning Tropical Depression Twenty-Two, in the Gulf of Mexico, will be named Tropical Storm Alpha later today or tonight.


- Wilfred is not a threat to land, and it likely won't become a hurricane. An increase in wind shear early next week will lead to its demise.


- Future Alpha (Tropical Depression Twenty-Two) is projected to become a minimal hurricane on Sunday or Monday, but it's possible it may only reach strong tropical storm intensity due to wind shear and dry air. The following is from the National Hurricane Center:

Key Messages: 1. Tropical Depression Twenty-Two is expected to strengthen to a tropical storm, and possibly a hurricane, while moving slowly over the western Gulf of Mexico during the next few days. 2. There is an increasing risk of heavy rainfall and flooding along the Texas coast from Sunday through at least the middle of next week as the system is forecast to move slowly near the Texas coast. For additional information, see products from your local National Weather Service office. 3. While it is too early to determine what areas could see direct wind and storm surge impacts from this system, interests throughout the western Gulf of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system and future updates to the forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 18/1500Z 23.8N 93.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 19/0000Z 24.8N 93.6W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 19/1200Z 25.9N 93.4W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 20/0000Z 26.3N 93.8W 50 KT 60 MPH 48H 20/1200Z 26.5N 94.6W 60 KT 70 MPH 60H 21/0000Z 26.6N 95.6W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 21/1200Z 26.9N 96.2W 65 KT 75 MPH 96H 22/1200Z 27.5N 96.5W 60 KT 70 MPH 120H 23/1200Z 28.5N 95.5W 55 KT 65 MPH


- Hurricane Teddy is still a Cat 4 with maximum sustained winds of 130 mph. There is no real change to the forecast since the morning update. It will likely begin to slowly weaken later tomorrow and Sunday and pass just east of Bermuda Sunday night and then head for Nova Scotia on Tuesday as a powerful extratropical storm.






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