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Long Island Forecast and Trouble Looms in the Tropics

- Tropics: There is an increased probability of tropical development for the 2 systems in the Atlantic (see 1st image); the system near Cuba has a 30% chance when it gets into the Gulf and the system out in the Atlantic has a 40% chance. The next name on the list is Gonzalo. Beyond that though, there will be another system that some of the Euro ensembles eventually develop into a hurricane as it heads in the general direction of the United States at the end of the month. I will continue to update.

Long Island forecast:

- Today: Mostly sunny and hot, but less humid by later this morning and into the afternoon. Highs mostly in the low 90's, but cooler for the south shore and east end.

- Tomorrow: Humid with a 40% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms at times with the potential for heavy downpours and gusty winds in any thunderstorm. Otherwise, varying amounts of clouds and sun with highs mostly in the upper 80's. The thunderstorms could be more in the early to mid-morning and then again in the evening.

- Thursday: Continued very warm and humid weather with a chance of thunderstorms with heavy downpours, especially in the afternoon and evening. Otherwise, partly cloudy with highs mostly in the upper 80's to low 90's, but cooler for the south shore and east end.

- Friday to Sunday generally looks partly to mostly sunny with moderate humidity with highs generally in the mid 80's.

- 1st image: From the National Hurricane Center.

- 2nd image: Tracks from the Euro ensembles for the next 10 days.

- 3rd and 4th images: Severe weather potential for tomorrow and Thursday.

- 5th image: Projected high temperatures for today from the National Weather Service.

- 6th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the NWS model blend.








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