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Long Island Weather and Trouble Looms in the Tropics

- On a side note, for the first time since 1913, Death Valley, CA hit 130 degrees yesterday!

- The National Hurricane Center is at 50% and 60%, respectively, for the 2 tropical waves in the Atlantic. It's the 2nd one that is more worrisome. There will also be 2 more systems behind it. The one that develops first will be named Laura, and the 2nd one will be Marco. - The 1st system will stay pretty far to south with limited development, and it will probably head towards the Yucatan, possibly emerging into the southwestern Gulf and then it has the potential to strengthen and head towards Texas or into Mexico. - The 2nd system will likely head towards the Leeward Islands, but it probably won't be a hurricane by the time it gets there. The most likely eventual target appears to be the vicinity of Florida, but there is a great deal of uncertainty in track and strength still. It could head into the Gulf or curve up towards the Carolinas. - I will continue to update with the latest information.

Long Island forecast: - Overall, it's going to be a dry week with highs mostly between the upper 70's and low 80's. - Today: Partly cloudy and comfortable with highs near 80 degrees, but mid to upper 70's for the south shore and east end. An approaching cold front this evening with bring a increasing chance of showers and thunderstorms from late this afternoon into tonight. Severe weather isn't expected with any thunderstorm, just a brief heavy downpour is possible. - Tomorrow, Wednesday, and Thursday: Partly to mostly sunny with highs mostly in the low 80's, but cooler for the south shore and east end. - As of now, dry weather continues for Friday and Saturday.

- 1st image: Euro ensembles for the next 10 days. - 2nd image: From the National Hurricane Center. - 3rd image: Projected high temperatures for today from the National Weather Service. - 4th image: Projected rainfall for the next 7 days from the Weather Prediction Center. - 5th image: Simulated radar for 11:00 tonight from the HRRR model. - 6th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the National Weather Service model blend.

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