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Models disagree on track with the Euro and its ensembles being farther west:

The Euro and its ensembles are much more bullish on huge snowfall totals farther west than the other models. The 1st to 4th images are the snow maps from the NWS model blend, the Euro ensemble mean, the Euro, and the GFS, respectively. It will be fascinating to watch the model runs today and tonight! The ensembles for Long Island are shown in the 5th image.


LONG ISLAND FORECAST:

Today: Partly sunny with highs in the low 40's. Wind generally out of the W at 10 to 15 mph.

Tonight: Clear and becoming much colder with lows in the mid to upper teens. Wind out of the NNW at 10 to 15 mph.

Tomorrow: Sunny and very cold with highs in the mid 20's. Wind out of the NNW at 10 to 20 mph.

Tomorrow night: Clear and frigid with lows near 10 degrees with some single digits in the Pine Barrens area in Suffolk. Wind out of the N at 10 mph and decreasing after midnight.

Thursday: Mostly sunny with highs in the upper 20's to near 30 degrees. Wind generally out of the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.

Friday: Cloudy with a chance of snow showers in the afternoon with a steadier snow likely at night with highs in the mid 30's. Wind out of the W at 5 to 10 mph.

Saturday: Snow likely and windy with highs around 30 degrees. With the right track, there is the potential for major accumulations with the best chance being in Suffolk. Wind out of the N at 20 to 30 mph with higher gusts.

Sunday: Sunny and breezy with highs in the upper 20's. Wind out of the WNW at 15 to 25 mph.










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