More on the thunderstorms soon, but a quick update on the tropics with not much to worry about:
- See previous post for the full update on the thunderstorms and the Long Island forecast.
- Only a couple of the Euro ensemble members are showing tropical development, but I know one of the forecasters that wrote this update is outstanding at picking up on these things. It's still only being given a 20% chance within the next 5 days.
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Wed Jul 21 2021 A broad trough of low pressure associated with a decaying frontal boundary is forecast to move offshore of the southeastern United States coastline by late this week. Environmental conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive for some gradual development over the weekend into early next week while the system meanders offshore of the coasts of South Carolina, Georgia, and northeastern Florida. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.