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New 06Z Euro isn't backing down with track across Long Island with damaging winds:

** Always pay attention to official information from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service** The wind maps shown here are meant to show location and timing more than actual wind speed, which will likely be significantly lower than shown.


While the Euro is likely an outlier with the strength of the storm and intensity of the winds it's showing for Long Island and southeastern New England, the track can't be ignored. As I mentioned in my early morning post, the National Weather Service is downplaying the potential for strong wind gusts, but the National Hurricane Center shifted the track left and 5 AM and said that the model guidance is further left than their current forecast track, so they left room to shift left again at 11 AM.

- 1st image: Map from the Euro for 8 AM Friday

- 2nd image: Precipitable water from the Euro for 9 AM Friday

- 3rd to 5th images: Wind gusts in knots from the Euro for 9 AM, 10 AM, and Noon on Friday, but these are likely much too high.








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