New 2 PM update on the tropics from the National Hurricane Center:
The two eastern-most systems have now been increased to an 80% and 60% chance of tropical development within the next 5 days. The next names on the list are Paulette and Rene.
I will post the Euro ensembles after 8:30 tonight.
The following is from the National Hurricane Center:
1. A nearly stationary broad area of low pressure is located over the east-central tropical Atlantic about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Windward Islands. This system continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms, and some development is possible during the next couple of days before it merges or interacts with a large tropical wave located to its east. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. 2. A tropical wave and area of low pressure located just west of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is expected as it moves westward to west-northwestward, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend or early next week when the system reaches the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. 3. Another tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa on Sunday. Gradual development of this system is then expected, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while it moves generally westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.