Ominous-Looking Euro Ensembles and Rain Today for Long Island
- Now we have 2 new areas to watch in the tropics! Tropical development isn't imminent for either, but they will need to be watched this week
- For Long Island, light rain and breezy today with an onshore flow with highs only in the low 70's. The models have trended farther southeast with the rain, but the radar doesn't seem to support that.
- Here is more information from the National Hurricane Center on the 2 new systems to watch in the tropics:
1. A fast-moving tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands is producing a small area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is expected to move westward at about 20 mph during the next few days, and that fast speed is likely to limit development while the system approaches the Windward and southern Leeward Islands today and Monday and moves across the eastern Caribbean Sea on Tuesday. After that time, the system is expected to move more slowly westward across the central and western Caribbean Sea, and upper-level winds could be conducive for development during the middle to latter part of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
2. Another tropical wave moving off the coast of Africa is producing a large area of cloudiness and showers. This wave is forecast to move westward at 15 to 20 mph during the next few days, and some development will be possible by the middle to latter part of the week as environmental conditions become more conducive while the system is over the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.