Quick 4:15 AM update on the brief Arctic blast and the next window with a slight chance of snow:
You can see the projected wind chill temperatures for Tuesday morning in the 1st image, as it will be a brief, but brutal Arctic blast. There will be some light snow in New England as it moves in Monday night. Wind gusts up to 40 mph can be expected Monday night into Tuesday morning for Long Island and most of the northeast, but the wind will gradually diminish Tuesday afternoon.
With the Wednesday storm expected to stay to our south, temperatures will rebound, but colder air arrives again for next week. So, the next slight chance for snow for Long Island the northeast is next Saturday night into Sunday. As of now, the Euro has a big storm just skim eastern New England with snow (2nd image). The GFS-Parallel also has a storm well offshore (3rd image). So, for now, the chances are low, but it's worth watching, as it may be our only chance in the first 10 to 12 days of March.
LONG ISLAND FORECAST:
Today: Showers ending between around 1 PM and 2:30 PM from west to east with highs around 50 degrees. Total rainfall of around 0.5". Wind mostly out of the SSE in the morning at around 10 to 15 mph, shifting to WSW and then W by late afternoon.
Tonight: Partly cloudy early with increasing clouds towards midnight with lows mostly in the mid 30's. Light winds at around 5 to 10 mph from the WNW to NW.
Tomorrow: Cloudy with rain starting between 11 AM and 2 PM from southwest to northeast with highs in the mid 40's. Wind mostly out of the E to ENE at around 10 mph.
Tomorrow night: Cloudy with occasional showers with lows around 40 degrees. Variable wind at around 5 to 10 mph.
Monday: Showers ending around mid-morning and then becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 40's to around 50 degrees.
Monday night: Becoming windy starting around midnight with partly cloudy skies and a slight chance of some flurries with temperatures dropping into the low 20's. Strong wind gusts out of the NW at over 35 mph will make it feel like around 0 degrees at times by early Tuesday morning.
Tuesday: Very cold and windy in the morning with sunny skies with wind gusts over 35 mph in the morning with wind chill temperatures in the single digits. The wind will gradually diminish to around 20 to 25 mph in the afternoon with highs in the mid 30's.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy with highs in the low to mid 40's.
Thursday Mostly sunny with highs around 50 degrees.
- 1st image: Projected wind chill temperatures at 7 AM Tuesday from the Euro
- 2nd image: Map from the Euro for next Sunday
- 3rd image: Simulated future radar from the GFS-Parallel for next Saturday night
- 4th image: Projected snowfall for Long Island for the next 15 days as a running total from every Euro ensemble member
- 5th image: Projected temperatures with ranges for Long Island for the next 15 days from the Euro ensembles
- 6th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the NWS model blend