Quick 4 AM update as Eta tracks shifts a little southward and the Long Island forecast:
Tropical Storm Eta has 65 mph winds, and it could approach hurricane strength after it crosses Cuba, but it appears that it will take a little sharper westward turn and may pass just south or over the southwestern Keys. However, there will still be very strong wind gusts, flooding rainfall, and a storm surge of 2 to 4 feet in southern Florida. There is also a decent chance that Eta will become a hurricane after it makes a little farther into the Gulf, but as the NHC is mentioning, there is more uncertainty than normal in the future track and strength. Although water temps are warm and shear will be light to moderate, there will be dry air surrounding the storm. It looks like it will eventually lift northeastward towards the NW coast of Florida, but it will be weakening.
Some of the Euro ensemble members are hinting at another system in the southern Caribbean after mid-month.
Long Island forecast:
Today (Sunday): Sunny and warm with highs mostly in the low to mid 70's.
Tomorrow (Monday): Mostly sunny and warm with highs in the low 70's.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy with highs in the upper 60's.
Wednesday: Cloudy with a 70% chance of showers. Highs in the mid to upper 60's.
Thursday: Cloudy with showers ending in the afternoon. Highs in the low to mid 60's.
Friday: Partly cloudy and cooler with highs in the upper 50's.