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Quick 4 AM update as Tuesday trends warmer, but Thursday trends snowier:

Happy Valentine's Day!


The freezing rain and snow continue to trend more to the northwest for the late Monday night into Tuesday storm, and it will also be moving through quickly, so that Long Island may see some sun Tuesday afternoon.


It's looking more likely that there will be snow with accumulations on Long Island on Thursday late morning into late afternoon before changing to rain as there will be cold high pressure to the north, so it has the look of a quick thumping of snow. Both the Euro and the NWS model blend trended snowier for Long Island and southern New England. The Euro ensemble mean is now around 4 inches for Long Island. It will turn to sleet and then rain though and last into Friday.


LONG ISLAND FORECAST:


Today: Scattered light freezing drizzle in the morning and then remaining cloudy with possible drizzle in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30's. Wind out of the north at 5 to 10 mph.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of light rain or freezing rain, mostly after midnight. Lows around 30 degrees.

Tomorrow: Chance of early morning freezing rain, and then cloudy with a 50% chance of late afternoon showers with highs in the mid 30's.

Tomorrow night: Cloudy with a 60% chance of light rain in the evening, becoming freezing rain. Lows around 30 degrees.

Tuesday: Freezing rain possible very early in the morning (before 4 AM), but quickly changing to a steady rain and ending by early afternoon, with some breaks of sun by mid-afternoon. Highs in the mid to upper 30's. Wind mostly out of the NNE at 10 to 15 mph in the morning and then shifting to NW in the afternoon.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny with highs in the low 30's.

Thursday: 60% chance of snow developing around late morning with the potential for light accumulations (2 to 3 inches) before changing to sleet/freezing rain and then rain. Highs in the upper 30's.

Friday: Rain, tapering off to showers in the afternoon with highs in the low 40's.


- 1st and 2nd images: Projected snowfall through 7 PM Tuesday from the National Weather Service and Euro, respectively

- 3rd to 8th images: Maps from the Euro for 3 AM Tuesday, 7 AM Tuesday, 1 PM Tuesday, 1 PM Thursday, 7 PM Thursday, and 1 AM Friday

- 9th image: Projected snowfall for Long Island for the next 15 days as a running total from every Euro ensemble member

- 10th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the NWS model blend












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