Quick 4 AM update on Eta, snow and wind maps for the northeast, and the Long Island forecast:
Tropical Storm Eta will steadily intensify and become a hurricane on Tuesday and head towards Central America. It will slow down on approach though, so it could bring rainfall totals of up to 25 inches along with 100 mph wind gusts (the HWRF makes it even stronger, so it's something to watch). Some of the ensembles still eventually bring it northward.
The snow and wind maps for the northeast are shown below as a Wind Advisory will likely be issued for Long Island for wind gusts up to 50 mph tomorrow. There will also be plenty of Lake Effect snow!
Long Island forecast:
Today (Sunday): Cloudy with a steady rain (possibly heavy at times) developing between 2 and 4 PM from west to east with a warmer SSW wind at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 25 mph with highs in the upper 50's to around 60 degrees. By evening, wind gusts could approach 35 mph as the front comes through and the wind shifts direction to WNW. The rain should end from west to east from around 7 PM to 9 PM.
Tomorrow (Monday): Partly sunny with a slight chance of a snow shower in the morning and very windy and cold with highs only in the low to mid 40's. Wind gusts up to 50 mph from the WNW to NW. A Wind Advisory will likely be issued.
Tuesday: Partly to mostly sunny and still windy in the morning with gusts over 25 mph with highs in the upper 40's.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny with highs in the mid to upper 50's.
Thursday: Mostly sunny with highs in the low 60's.
Friday: Mostly sunny with highs in the low to mid 60's.