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Quick 4 AM update on tropics (big difference in Euro and GFS ensembles) and Long Island forecast:

Tropical Storm Gamma has 50 mph maximum sustained winds and will turn SW towards the southern Gulf of Mexico. It's not a threat to the United States at this time.


Invest 92L now has an 80% chance of tropical development, and it will head into the Gulf of Mexico. There is a big difference in the Euro ensembles and the GFS ensembles. The Euro ensembles (3rd image) are basically showing that it's nothing to worry about, but some of the GFS ensembles (4th image) show it becoming a hurricane and making landfall along the Gulf coast. I will have more updates later.


Long Island:


Today: Mostly sunny with increasing clouds by late afternoon and evening with highs in the mid 60's.

Tomorrow: Partly to mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of a shower, mostly in the morning, with the best chance being in Suffolk. Highs in the mid to upper 60's.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny with highs in the upper 60's to around 70 degrees.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy with highs in the low 70's. A cold front coming through at night should bring some showers.

Thursday: Mostly sunny and breezy with highs mostly in the mid 60's.

Friday: Mostly sunny and cool with highs around 60 degrees.









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