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Quick 4 AM update on Zeta and the Long Island forecast:

TD28 is now Tropical Storm Zeta with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph as of the 2 AM advisory, and it has very deep convection, as you can see in the 2nd image. It's still projected to become a minimal hurricane and then weaken slightly before landfall. Track guidance has shifted slightly east, but there is a little less confidence than usual in the projected landfall location. I will have more updates today.

Long Island forecast:

Today (Sunday): Increasing clouds with showers developing by late afternoon or early evening from southwest to northeast. Chilly with highs only in the mid 50's.

Tomorrow (Monday): Cloudy with a 50% chance of some showers in the morning and then just a 20% chance in the afternoon with highs in the low mid 60's.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of a shower with highs in the upper 50's.

Wednesday: Partly to mostly cloudy with only a slight chance of a shower with highs mostly in the upper 50's to around 60 degrees.

Thursday: Cloudy with a 70% chance of rain developing in the morning or afternoon. Highs close to 60 degrees.

Friday: Rainy, breezy, and chilly with highs in the low to mid 50's. Rain possibly ending in the late afternoon or evening.

Halloween: Mostly sunny and chilly with highs in the low to mid 50's.

- The 3rd to 5th images are the 06Z track guidance, GFS ensembles, and Euro ensembles.

- The 6th image is the projected snowfall for the next 10 days from the Euro, and the 7th image is the projected precipitation for the next 7 days from the Weather Prediction Center.

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