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Quick 4 AM update with latest maps, then a quiet week, then several ensembles showing LI snowstorm:

Here are the latest maps for the New England snowstorm, and then the big storm for Tuesday will stay well offshore, so it will be a quiet and dry week. It will be cold, but then warm up late in the week.

The new Euro ensembles have several members showing a big snowstorm for Long Island on the 16th. Obviously, there is a lot of uncertainty and the odds are low. 6 of the 50 ensemble members are showing 10 inches or more of snow.


Today (Saturday): Rain, moderate to occasionally heavy at times with increasing wind by mid to late morning with gusts up to 30 mph from the NNE and then shifting to the NNW in the afternoon with gusts up to 35 mph in Nassau and up to 45 mph in eastern Suffolk. The rain should end by mid to late afternoon from west to east (around 3 PM in Nassau and 6 PM at Montauk). Temperatures dropping from the mid 40's in the morning to the low 40's by late afternoon. Total rainfall should be around 1 to 1.5 inches for Nassau and 1.5 to 2 inches towards eastern Suffolk.

Tomorrow (Sunday): Sunny, windy, and cold with gusts up to 30 mph from the NW. Highs only around 41 degrees.

Monday: Mostly sunny with highs only around 40 degrees.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy and breezy with highs in the low 40's as a strong storm stays well offshore.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy with highs in the low to mid 40's.

Thursday: Mostly sunny with highs in the upper 40's.

- 1st and 2nd images: Projected snowfall through 1 PM tomorrow from the National Weather Service and HRRR model

- 3rd image: Maximum projected wind gusts through 7 PM Monday from the National Weather Service

- 4th and 5th images: Simulated future radar for 2 PM and 6 PM today from the HRRR model

- 6th image: Projected snowfall for Long Island for the next 15 days as a running total from every Euro ensemble member

- 7th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the National Weather Service model blend

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