Quick update on Long Island wind/rain and the tropics:
Regarding the tropics, the National Hurricane Center hasn't raised their chance of tropical development above 50% yet, and the Euro ensembles for the next 10 days aren't very ominous (see 1st image).
Wind gusts estimates for Long Island have increased slightly with the National Weather Service now calling for gusts up to 50 mph in Suffolk with the Wind Advisory in effect from midnight tonight to 6 AM tomorrow. The 2nd and 3rd images show the maximum projected wind gusts from the National Weather Service and HRRR model, respectively. Here's my latest forecast for Long Island:
Tonight: Scattered showers and possibly a thunderstorm this evening, and then the rain will become steadier and heavier after midnight with wind gusts from the south up to 40 mph in Nassau and up to 45 to 50 mph in Suffolk between 1 AM and 7 AM from west to east. There is a Wind Advisory for Suffolk from midnight to 6 AM.
Tomorrow: Heavy rain and wind early in the morning tapering off to showers and ending from west to east between 10 AM and Noon. Quickly turning mostly sunny and less humid by early to mid afternoon from west to east as the cold front moves through, but it will be breezy with gusts over 20 mph in the afternoon. Highs in the low 70's.
Thursday: Partly cloudy with low humidity with highs mostly in the low 70's.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with a 40% chance of showers. Highs mostlyin the mid 60's.
Saturday: Mostly sunny with highs in the mid 60's.
Sunday: Partly cloudy with highs in the mid 60's.
Monday: Cloudy with a 60% chance of rain with highs in the mid to upper 60's.