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Quick update on the race between 95L and 96L to be named Sally:

Invest 96L (just off the southeast coast of Florida) now looks like it's getting better organized and could become a Tropical Depression or Tropical Storm sooner than Invest 95L. They each have a 70% chance of tropical development within the next 48 hours, according to the National Hurricane Center. The first one to become a Tropical Storm will be named Sally, and the other will be named Teddy.


See my previous post for more information on Paulette and the major threat to Bermuda.


My next post won't be until after 8:00 tonight, and I will post the latest information, including the new Euro ensemble tracks!


The following is from the National Hurricane Center regarding Invest 95L and Invest 96L, respectively:


A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is located a few hundred miles south and southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands and is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system is forecast, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next few days while the system moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.


Shower and thunderstorm activity located over the northwestern and central Bahamas and the adjacent waters continues to shows signs of organization. In addition, surface observations indicate that pressures have fallen over the area since yesterday and, along with wind and satellite data, suggest that a broad area of low pressure could be forming between the northwestern Bahamas and South Florida. This system is forecast to move westward at about 10 mph, and it could become a tropical depression while it is near South Florida tonight. But if not, the disturbance is expected to become a tropical depression while it moves slowly west-northwestward over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico this weekend and early next week. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce locally heavy rainfall over portions of the Bahamas, South Florida, and the Florida Keys during the next couple of days, and interests there, as well as along the northern and eastern Gulf coast, should monitor its progress. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.





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