Quick update on the thunderstorms today, the tropics, and an early look at Labor Day weekend
- We still have the 2 systems to watch, as designated by the National Hurricane Center, but nothing is imminent. They each have less than a 50% chance of tropical development within the next 5 days, and the Euro ensembles are not overly bullish on development.
- Today: Very humid with dew points in the low to mid 70's. Periods of showers and thunderstorms with tropical downpours possible. The timing for the strongest thunderstorms would most likely be between 2 PM and 5 PM, and they do have the slight chance to produce damaging wind gusts, and an even lower chance to produce a tornado. However, please don't worry about the tornado threat. Most of the rain could be done by 6 PM with just one more thin line of weakening showers and thunderstorms to move through between around 8 PM and 10 PM, but we may not get much from that.
- Tomorrow: Mostly sunny and much less humid with a dry northwesterly breeze. Highs mostly in the mid to upper 70's with dew points in the 50's.
- Monday: Partly cloudy with low humidity with highs mostly in the mid 70's. Increasing clouds later in the day and in the evening.
- Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with a 50% chance of showers, mostly in the morning, but there is some uncertainty still. Highs mostly in the mid 70's.
- Wednesday: Mostly cloudy and humid with a slight chance of a shower, but there is still some uncertainty. Highs mostly in the upper 70's to low 80's. The chance of thunderstorms increases in the evening.
- The early look at Labor Day weekend is for very nice weather with mostly sunny skies with highs mostly in the mid to upper 70's.
- 1st video: Simulated future radar from 9 AM to 9 PM from the HRRR model.
- 2nd image: Severe weather potential for today into tonight from the Storm Prediction Center.
- 3rd image: From the National Hurricane Center.
- 4th image: Euro ensembles for the next 15 days.
- 5th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the National Weather Service model blend.