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Quick update on the tropics and potential coastal storm:

Invest 95L is still being given a 70% chance of tropical development by the National Hurricane Center. There is still uncertainty in the track though, and it doesn't look like it would become a hurricane.


It still looks like there is a chance of another tropical system in the southern Caribbean in early November.


The potential coastal storm depends on if phasing of northern stream and southern stream energy occurs. The time-frame would more likely be on Friday next week rather than on Halloween. The 4th image shows the projected storm locations from the Euro ensemble members at 8 AM next Friday.


- 1st image: From the National Hurricane Center

- 2nd image: Projected tracks from various models

- 3rd image: Euro ensembles for the next 15 days

- 4th image: Projected storm locations from the Euro ensemble members at 8 AM next Friday






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