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Quick 4 AM update on tropics, rain, and Long Island:

No tropical development is expected in the Atlantic basin for at least the next 5 days. There is still a pretty good chance of systems developing in the western Caribbean and off the coast of Africa in the first week of October.


Generally, 2 to 3 inches of rain are expected on Long Island by Thursday afternoon, with the Euro showing 3 to 4 inches.


Long Island forecast:


Today: Possible fog and drizzle early and then mostly cloudy and humid with a 20% chance of a shower with highs mostly in the mid 70's.

Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy and humid with a 30% chance of scattered showers, mostly in the morning. Highs mostly in the mid 70's. 

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy and humid with a 60% chance of showers and possibly a thunderstorm with highs mostly in the mid 70's. 

Wednesday: Humid with periods of rain with highs mostly in the low 70's. Heavy downpours are possible at times.

Thursday: Cloudy with a 40% chance of rain in the morning and then possibly becoming partly sunny and less humid in the afternoon. Highs mostly in the low 70's.

Friday: Partly cloudy with low humidity with highs mostly in the upper 60's.


- 1st image: Euro ensembles for the next 10 days

- 2nd image: Projected rainfall from the Euro through 2 PM Thursday

- 3rd image: Projected rainfall from the Weather Prediction Center through 2 AM Friday

- 4th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the National Weather Service model blend






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