**Snow amounts increased for most of Long Island**
A Winter Storm Warning has been issued for Nassau and the western half of Suffolk for 6 to 16 inches of snow with gusts up to 50 mph and blizzard-like conditions. Eastern Suffolk is still under a Winter Storm Watch for 3 to 11 inches of snow with gusts up to 60 mph. The snow should start tonight between 9:00 PM and 1 AM from southwest to northeast and become heavy at times tomorrow. It will likely mix with sleet and then rain tomorrow evening/night, and then go back to some snow on Tuesday into Tuesday night, but it's still a complicated scenario. There will also of course be coastal flooding for Long Island, which will be minor to moderate. The HRRR is still less bullish on the snow amounts, but the NAM keeps it as all snow in Nassau and western Suffolk. The National Weather Service forecast is actually showing 12 to 22 inches for me in northwest Nassau, lol. The models are also showing some crazy totals in eastern PA into parts of northern NJ.
LONG ISLAND FORECAST:
**Winter Storm Warning for Nassau and central to western Suffolk from midnight tonight until 6 AM Tuesday for 6 to 16 inches of snow with wind gusts up to 50 mph. Winter Storm Watch still for eastern Suffolk for 3 to 11 inches of snow with wind gusts up to 60 mph**
Today (Sunday): Mostly cloudy with highs in the upper 20's with light winds.
Tonight: Light snow developing between 9 PM and 1 AM from southwest to northeast with lows in the mid 20's. Becoming windy late with gusts up to 25 mph from the NE.
Tomorrow (Monday): Snow, heavy at times with near-blizzard conditions possible for a time, and becoming windy with gusts up to 50 mph from the NE. The snow could change to sleet and rain in southeastern Suffolk by late afternoon. Highs in the low 30's. Wind gusts late Monday could exceed 55 mph in southeastern Suffolk.
Tomorrow night: Snow and sleet in the evening, heavy at times, transitioning to rain from southeast to northwest. Windy with gusts up to 50 mph from the NNE, with some gusts greater than 55 mph for southeastern Suffolk. Temperatures in the low to mid 30's. Total accumulations of 4 to 9 inches for eastern Suffolk, 8 to 14 inches for most of central Suffolk to southeast Nassau, and 10 to 16 inches for northwest Nassau.
Tuesday: Light rain or snow in the morning transitioning to occasional snow showers in the afternoon. Some additional light accumulations are possible in the late afternoon and evening. Windy with gusts up to 35 mph from the north. Highs in the mid 30's.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy and breezy with highs in the mid to upper 30's.
Thursday: Mostly sunny with highs around 40 degrees.
Friday: Milder with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid 40's.
- 1st image: Projected snowfall through 7 AM Tuesday from the NWS
- 2nd image: Projected snowfall through 7 PM Tuesday from the various NWS offices
- 3rd image: National Weather Service model blend snowfall through 7 AM Thursday
- 4th to 7th images: Maps from the NAM for 1 PM tomorrow, 7 PM tomorrow, 1 AM Tuesday, and 7 AM Tuesday, respectively
- 8th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the NWS model blend