Storm next Monday and a look at the general outlook and Long Island forecast:
It's going to be a mild week for Long Island and the northeast, especially Thursday and Friday as NYC may get close to 70 degrees on Friday. The details for Long Island are in the forecast below, but generally some showers at times on Wednesday and Friday, but overall not a lot of rain. It will also be much cooler for the south shore and east end early this week with low clouds and a sea breeze.
The models are showing the potential for a fairly strong storm next Monday with the potential for snow for the higher elevations and inland areas of central to northern New England and NY state. The Euro even has snow and sleet for Long Island and southern New England, but the chances are very low for that to happen; only 3 of the 50 Euro ensemble members are showing a snowstorm on Long Island.
LONG ISLAND FORECAST:
Today: Early morning low clouds and fog and then becoming mostly sunny with highs mostly in the mid to upper 50's, but much cooler for the south shore and east end with low clouds and an afternoon sea breeze. Wind becoming out of the ESE in the afternoon at 5 to 10 mph.
Tonight: Clear to partly cloudy with areas of patchy fog developing late. Lows ranging from the upper 30's in Nassau to the upper 20's to low 30's in the Pine Barrens area of Suffolk. Light and variable winds of around 5 mph or less.
Tomorrow: Morning clouds and fog and then becoming mostly sunny with highs mostly in the mid to upper 50's, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the NE at 5 to 10 mph.
Wednesday: Cloudy with a 50% chance of showers. Highs mostly in the mid 50's, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind mostly out of the E to ENE at around 10 mph.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy and mild with highs mostly in the low 60's, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind becoming out of the SSW at around 10 mph in the afternoon.
Friday: Mostly cloudy, breezy, and very mild with some showers at times. Highs mostly in the low to mid 60's, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the SSW at 15 to 25 mph.
Saturday: Mostly sunny with highs around 60 degrees, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the W to WNW at 10 to 20 mph.
- 1st image: Projected storm locations and pressures at 8 AM next Monday from the Euro ensembles
- 2nd image: Projected snowfall for the next 15 days from the Euro ensemble mean
- 3rd to 5th images: Maps from the Euro, Canadian, and GFS-Parallel, respectively, for next Monday
- 6th image: Projected precipitation through 8 PM Saturday from the Weather Prediction Center
- 7th image: Projected temperatures at 1 PM today from the HRRR model
- 8th image: Projected snowfall for Long Island for the next 15 days as a running total from every Euro ensemble member
- 9th image: Projected temperatures with ranges for Long Island for the next 15 days from the Euro ensembles
- 10th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the National Weather Service model blend