Sunny, dry, and breezy, then showers, 70 degrees next Wed and cooler for Mom's Day weekend:

- For Long Island today and tomorrow, a very dry airmass will combine with gusty northwest winds, resulting in an elevated risk of fire spread. Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 30 to 35 mph are expected, with minimum relative humidity levels between 15 and 25 percent.

- There is an even higher fire spread risk for NJ today and tomorrow with a Red Flag Warning in effect.

- A cool day today with highs only in the mid 50's, and then we warm up a little for tomorrow and the weekend. There will be some showers Monday, probably mostly in the morning, and with an onshore flow, highs should only be in the upper 50's.

- More showers are likely, probably from around Tuesday afternoon into early Wednesday morning, and then a warm afternoon on Wednesday with highs in the upper 60's to maybe near 70 degrees.

- More rain for later next week and then cooler for Mother's Day weekend with highs maybe only in the low 60's.

LONG ISLAND FORECAST:

Today: Mostly sunny and windy with very low humidity with highs in the mid 50's. Wind out of the NW at 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 30 mph.

Tonight: Mostly clear, windy, and cold with lows in the upper 30's, but some mid 30's in the Pine Barrens area in eastern Suffolk. Wind out of the NW at 10 to 20 mph with gusts over 25 mph.

Tomorrow: Sunny and windy with extremely low humidity with highs in the low 60's in Nassau and in the upper 50's to around 60 degrees in Suffolk. Wind out of the NW at 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 30 mph.

Tomorrow night: Mostly clear and breezy with lows around 40 degrees. Wind out of the NW at 10 to 20 mph.

Saturday: Sunny with highs in the low 60's in Nassau and around 60 degrees in Suffolk, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the NNW at 10 to 15 mph.

Sunday: Mostly sunny with increasing high clouds in the afternoon with highs in the low to mid 60's in Nassau and low 60's in Suffolk, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the NNE in the morning at 5 mph and then S in the afternoon at around 10 mph.

Monday: Cloudy with a chance of showers with highs in the upper 50's to near 60 degrees. Wind out of the ESE at 10 to 15 mph.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers later in the day with highs in the low to mid 60's. Wind out of the SE at 10 to 15 mph.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy in the morning with a chance of showers early and then partly cloudy in the afternoon with highs in the mid to upper 60's. Wind out of the WNW at 10 to 20 mph.

- 1st image: My 5 day outlook for Long Island

- 2nd image: Projected temperatures with ranges for Long Island for the next 15 days from the Euro ensembles

- 3rd image: Special Weather Statement on the elevated fire spread risk

- 4th and 5th images: Fire weather outlook for today and tomorrow, respectively

- 6th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the NWS Model Blend