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The L.I. forecast with the Arctic blast and then above average temperatures next week:

- For the Arctic blast Friday night into Saturday, the overnight Euro was even colder for Long Island, but the GFS wasn't quite as cold as it was showing as it didn't have the Arctic air extend as far south. The Euro was showing temperatures dropping below zero on Long Island with wind chills of -25 degrees, and the GFS has lows around 10 degrees with a wind chill below zero. However, the low temperature from the Euro ensemble mean is zero degrees and around 2 to 5 degrees from the Model Blend (6th image).

- A cold front today into tonight will bring some snow for the northeast, and the snow map is in the 2nd image. I may post the future radar video a little later this morning. For Long Island, it could bring a few showers after midnight with a slight chance of snow showers early tomorrow morning.

- You can see the above average temperatures for next week in the 3rd image, which shows the temperatures for Long Island from the Euro ensembles.


LONG ISLAND FORECAST:

Today: Mostly cloudy in the morning and partly cloudy in the afternoon with highs near 50 degrees. Wind generally light and variable.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with a chance of a few scattered showers after midnight with lows in the low to mid 30's. Wind out of the SW then NW at 5 to 10 mph.

Tomorrow: Chance of an early morning rain or snow shower and then becoming partly sunny with highs in the upper 30's. Wind out of the NNW at 10 to 15 mph.

Tomorrow night: Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of flurries with lows in the mid 20's. Wind out of the NNE at 5 to 10 mph.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny with highs in the mid 30's. Wind out of the NW at 5 to 10 mph.

Thursday: Partly to mostly cloudy with highs around 40 degrees. Wind out of the WSW at 10 to 15 mph.

Friday: Mostly sunny and becoming windy with early morning temperatures in the low 30's and falling into the 20's by afternoon, teens in the evening, and single digits at night. Wind out of the NW at 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 30 mph.

Friday night: Frigid with mostly clear skies with lows of 0 to 6 degrees with a wind chill of -10 to -15 degrees. Wind out of the NW at 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 30 mph.

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Saturday: Mostly sunny, breezy, and frigid with afternoon highs only around 20 degrees with a wind chill below zero in the morning. Wind out of the NNW at 10 to 15 mph.


- 1st image: My 5 day forecast for Long Island

- 2nd image: NWS snow map through 7 PM Wednesday

- 3rd image: Projected temperatures for Long Island from the Euro ensembles

- 4th and 5th images: Projected wind chill temperatures for early Saturday morning from the Euro and GFS

- 6th image: Projected lows for Saturday morning from the Model Blend

- 7th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the Model Blend









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