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The last of the cooler days as rain stayed farther east and the tropics with 2 areas to watch:

- There was always more uncertainty in the placement with these coastal waves of low pressure, and the rain stayed farther east than expected. There will be some more showers this morning for eastern Suffolk with cloudy conditions for the rest of Long Island with some breaks of sun from west to east as the afternoon progresses. Much warmer weather is ahead for tomorrow with sunny skies!

- There are two areas to watch in the tropics with the system about emerge off the coast of Africa already being given a 50% chance of tropical development within the next 5 days. This system may become Tropical Storm Fred, but it doesn't look like a long-term threat. The other system in the Atlantic is only being given a 20% chance of tropical development within the next 5 days, and overall the Euro ensembles don't look too concerning yet for the United States.


LONG ISLAND FORECAST:

Today: Early morning showers in eastern Suffolk with cloudy conditions elsewhere with some breaks of sun by mid to late afternoon from west to east with highs in the mid to upper 70's, but cooler for the east end. Wind out of the N at around 10 mph.

Tonight: Partly cloudy with lows mostly in the mid 60's. Light and variable winds at 5 mph or less.

Tomorrow: Sunny and much warmer with highs in the mid to upper 80's, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the W at 5 mph in the morning and out of the SSW to S at 10 mph in the afternoon.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy with highs in the low to mid 80's, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the S to SSW at 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

Sunday: Partly cloudy with highs in the low to mid 80's, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Variable wind direction at around 5 to 10 mph.

Monday: Mostly sunny and more humid with highs in the mid 80's, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Light and variable wind in the morning and then out of the SSE at 10 mph in the afternoon.


- 1st image: From the National Hurricane Center

- 2nd image: Euro ensembles for the next 10 days

- 3rd image: My 5 day outlook for Long Island

- 4th image: Projected rainfall through Noon from the HRRR model

- 5th and 6th images: Projected highs for today and tomorrow from the NWS

- 7th image: Projected temperatures for Farmingdale, Long Island for the next 10 days from the NWS model blend










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