The Long Island forecast and still uncertainty with the potential Friday night coastal storm:
- Regarding the potential coastal storm, the models are still all over the place. The GFS has a strong coastal storm, the Canadian is way out to sea, and the Euro is dry Friday into Friday night, but has rain for Saturday. The Euro ensembles are also all over the place with many being well offshore and some with the storm for Saturday.
LONG ISLAND FORECAST:
Today: Varying amounts of clouds and sun and warm with a 20% chance of a shower. Highs mostly in the low to mid 70's, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Breezy in the afternoon with gusts up to 20 mph from the WSW.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy with lows mostly in the mid 50's in Nassau and low 50's in Suffolk. Light and variable winds at around 5 mph.
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs mostly around 70 degrees. Wind out of the ENE to ESE at 5 to 10 mph. There will be rain at night.
Tuesday: Chance of early morning showers and then varying amounts of clouds and sun with a chance for an afternoon thunderstorm. Highs in the mid to upper 70's, but cooler for the south shore and east end.
Wednesday: Cloudy with a 50% chance of showers. Highs around 70 degrees.
Thursday: Mostly sunny with highs in the mid 60's.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers by late afternoon. Highs in the low 60's.
- 1st image: My 5 day outlook for Long Island
- 2nd image: Projected storm locations and strengths from the Euro ensembles for 2 PM Saturday
- 3rd to 5th images: Maps from the GFS (8 PM Friday), Euro, 2 PM Saturday, and Canadian (2 PM Friday), respectively
- 6th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the NWS model blend